Het hoge woord is er uit. Het gezonde verstand keert terug.
Langzaam komt een einde aan wat ik altijd een ernstig geval van collectieve verstandsverbijstering heb genoemd.
Op verschillende websites wordt melding gemaakt van de aankondiging van een Wende van de Energiewende – dit keer niet door een klimaatsceptische blogger, maar de hoogste baas: Sigmar Gabriel, de Duitse vicekanselier, minister van economische zaken en energie, en leider van de Duitse socialisten.
Onder de titel, ‘Germanys CO2 and energy policy about to falter?’, schreef Fred F. Mueller op het blog van Anthony Watts:
On April 16th, 2014, a few quite remarkable statements were delivered during a discussion event at the premises of SMA Solar Technology AG, a leading German producer of photovoltaic panels and systems:
? The truth is that the Energy U-Turn (Energiewende, the German scheme aimed at pushing the renewable share of electricity production to 80 % by 2050) is about to fail.
? The truth is that under all aspects, we have underestimated the complexity of the Energiewende.
? The noble aspiration of a decentralized energy supply, of self-sufficiency! This is of course utter madness.
? Anyway, most other countries in Europe think we are crazy [Noot HL: Te oordelen naar de vreugde waarmee in ons land het energieakkoord is ontvangen, behoort Nederland daar kennelijk niet toe. Maar laten we hopen dat dat nog komt.]
Had this been one of the small albeit growing number of German sceptics casting doubt upon the XXL-sized politico-economical scam that has cost the German populace more than 500 billion since its inception in 2000, it would not have gotten more than a footnote in the local press, crammed somewhere in between horoscope and lost and found. In fact, the media actually tried to keep a lid on the facts by giving them as little coverage as possible.
But the man at the speakers desk was Sigmar Gabriel, acting vice-chancellor of the German government, Secretary of Commerce with responsibility for the said Energiewende and chairman of the German social democrats (SPD), the second-largest political force in the country. Since December 2013, he is in charge of taming the runaway costs and growing security of supply risks that are unmasking the financial and technical nightmare of this ill-conceived project. In the past few months, he seems to have gotten some unpleasant insights causing him to admit the above-mentioned inconvenient truths when he was pushed too far by a number of aggressive lobbyists of the renewable energy sector. Gabriel, famous for his irascible temper that once already resulted in a heated verbal exchange with a top-dog TV journalist live on air, appears to have become quite candid when he vented his anger during the debate.
He must have realized his own political fate is in jeopardy because the task he has been assigned has conducted him into a situation that will inevitably result in failure. With respect to electric energy generation, Germany has painted itself into a corner. Since the introduction of the Renewable Energy law (EEG) in 2000 aimed at replacing coal and gas-fired as well as nuclear power generation by so-called renewable energy sources, the household price for electricity has jumped by more than 200 %. German customers now pay the second-highest electricity prices in Europe. At the same time, the task of stabilizing the grid against the massive erratic influx from solar and wind power plants that produce without regard for actual need has pushed the operators to their limits. Now already, with a combined share of just some 13 % of total electricity production, their unreliable input is massively imperiling the stability of the grid. .
Long-ignored financial and technical rules re-emerge and will force the German political class to abandon their renewable energy strategy centering on solar and wind power generation. Since the only low CO2 alternative nuclear power has been deviled by all political parties and the media beyond any chance of short-term oblivion [Noot HL: ???], Germany will soon have to revert to coal for its power needs. And that in turn implies the country will have to abandon all aspirations to lower its CO2 emissions. German politicians might soon find out that demonizing CO2 is becoming a speedy path to ruining their career. And given the importance of the country within Europe and the pioneering role it claimed in the international crusade against climate change by limiting CO2 emissions, this might well herald the start of a paradigm shift of epochal dimensions in the whole climate change debate.
Lees verder hier.
Zie ook Hajo Smit hier.
Verwacht een golf van faillissementen in Duitsland met massaontslagen. Verwacht verder een aardverschuiving van het decarboniseringsbeleid van de EU. Verwacht ten slotte belangrijke repercussies voor het Nederlandse energieakkoord.
Voor mijn eerdere DDSbijdragen zie hier.