Mijn leven als een lauwwarmer

Wat Matt Ridley allemaal over zich heen kreeg omdat hij de verhalen over de opwarming van de aarde overdreven vindt.

Onder de titel, ‘My life as a climate lukewarmer’, schreef Matt Ridley op zijn blog:

The polarisation of the climate debate has gone too far.

All the fury must mean that my arguments are hitting home, or efforts would be made to demolish them rather me I am a climate lukewarmer. That means I think recent global warming is real, mostly man-made and will continue but I no longer think it is likely to be dangerous and I think its slow and erratic progress so far is what we should expect in the future. That last year was the warmest yet, in some data sets, but only by a smidgen more than 2005, is precisely in line with such lukewarm thinking.

This view annoys some sceptics who think all climate change is natural or imaginary, but it is even more infuriating to most publicly funded scientists and politicians, who insist climate change is a big risk. My middle-of-the-road position is considered not just wrong, but disgraceful, shameful, verging on scandalous. I am subjected to torrents of online abuse for holding it, very little of it from sceptics. …

Kind friends send me news almost weekly of whole blog posts devoted to nothing but analysing my intellectual and personal inadequacies, always in relation to my views on climate. Writing about climate change is a small part of my life but, to judge by some of the stuff that gets written about me, writing about me is a large part of the life of some of the more obsessive climate commentators.

It’s all a bit strange. Why is this debate so fractious? Rather than attack my arguments, my critics like to attack my motives. I stand accused of “wanting” climate change to be mild because I support free markets or because I receive income indirectly from the mining of coal in Northumberland. …

I was not always a lukewarmer. When I first started writing about the threat of global warming more than 26 years ago, as science editor of The Economist, I thought it was a genuinely dangerous threat. Like, for instance, Margaret Thatcher, I accepted the predictions being made at the time that we would see warming of a third or a half a degree (Centigrade) a decade, perhaps more, and that this would have devastating consequences. Gradually, however, I changed my mind. The failure of the atmosphere to warm anywhere near as rapidly as predicted was a big reason: there has been less than half a degree of global warming in four decades — and it has slowed down, not speeded up. Increases in malaria, refugees, heatwaves, storms, droughts and floods have not materialised to anything like the predicted extent, if at all. Sea level has risen but at a very slow rate — about a foot per century. Also, I soon realised that all the mathematical models predicting rapid warming assume big amplifying feedbacks in the atmosphere, mainly from water vapour; carbon dioxide is merely the primer, responsible for about a third of the predicted warming. When this penny dropped, so did my confidence in predictions of future alarm: the amplifiers are highly uncertain. …

Lees verder hier.

Het artikel verscheen eerder in The Times.

Richard Tol heeft inmiddels zijn afkeuring uitgesproken over de bedreigingen uit de groene hoek aan het adres van Matt Ridley. In een ‘posting’ getiteld, ‘Radical Greens’, schreef hij onder meer:

There are now elements in the environmental movement who are so worried about the state of the planet that they have lost all sense of proportion. This is alarming for those at the receiving end of their mindless wrath. It does not help to protect the environment either. …

Every movement has its nutters. Climate warriors have long ago stopped being civil. But we seem to be entering a new level of radicalisation. ….

In January 2015, a Greenpeace activist called for the beheading of a member of the House of Lords on the website of the Guardian. When challenged, he repeated the call, and again. People who questioned the wisdom of these remarks were attacked or banned. The Guardian actively moderates its comments, but even though Gary Evans’ calls to behead Matt Ridley caused a bit of a stir, it took the editors 32 hours to realize that death threats against political opponents is not really how we like to do things in Britain nowadays. …

Aldus Richard Tol

Lees verder hier.

Voor mijn eerdere DDS-bijdragen zie hier.

 

Abonneer je gratis en voor niets op het Telegram-kanaal van De Dagelijkse Standaard, en like onze spiksplinternieuwe Facebook-pagina!
In dit artikel

Wie op onze website reageert, gaat akkoord met ons huisreglement.

7 reacties

  1. Realist

    Je suis Matt Ridley

  2. Ronel

  3. arie_jansz

    Altijd interessant om iets over aartsconservatie britse edellieden te lezen.

    Meneer heeft als bankier eerst meegeholpen om de economie kapot te maken en nu is het klimaat aan de beurt.

    1. Jacobus

      Ja, Arie, voor Labohm en zijn rebellenclub geldt dat de vijand van hun vijand hun vriend is. Ridley gelooft wel in de de opwarming van de aarde maar meent dat we de gevolgen best kunnen oplossen omdat we rijker worden. Na ons de zondvloed en de rijke mensen zullen wel overleven.

      1. HenkieAltea

        Maar na al zo’n 30 jaar het gezeik van de opwarming te hebben moeten aanhoren,wil ik nu wel eens die warmte hebben.
        We zouden niet meer op vakantie naar Spanje behoeven te gaan,nee die temperaturen zouden we anno nu bij Terheyde a Zee hebben volgens de voorspellers.
        Maar wat krijgen we nu,veel kou komende week.
        Dus lul hoeren,zorg nou eens voor de beloofde warmte,en hou anders je kop dicht.
        Jullie zijn pure oplichters,miljarden opgestreken met dat lul verhaal,en er niks voor leveren.
        CO2,het Westland komt er tonnen van te kort.

    2. GerardMarinus

      Bravo Arie en Jacobus, helemaal on topic.
      Zoals Ridley zei:

      Rather than attack my arguments, my critics like to attack my motives. I stand accused of “wanting” climate change to be mild because I support free markets or because I receive income indirectly from the mining of coal in Northumberland. …

      Ook die sneer naar Hans toe van Jacobus mag er zijn!

      🙁

  4. HaJoGe

    Heerlijk – ondanks mijn scepsis over de opwarming heb ik in 2007 en 2008 een paar vorstgevoelige plantjes in mijn tuin gepoot!
    Met een zucht heb ik de afgestorvenen opgegraven en gecomposteerd.
    De leeggevallen plaatsen worden nu ingenomen door een paar planten uit (Noord)Japan – wel keiharde uitgezocht.
    Scepsis is weer volledig teruggekeerd
    (in tegenstelling tot politici mag je proberen – maar je moet ook op je schreden kunnen terugkeren!)

Reacties zijn gesloten.

e-mail:

 
Ja, ik ga ermee akkoord dat Dagelijkse Standaard mij incidenteel commerciële emails stuurt.